“Micron is in a cyclical downturn with margin compression ahead and a deceptive low PE — the downside is not over despite a potential short-term bounce.”
Why he says it — point by point
FAVORABLE & AGAINST · BOTH KEPTDo I think the downside is over? Not in the least.
Why
This is going to happen with the memory stocks as well. They're going to have to start seeing their margins compress and that will take out these massive premiums.
if you look at past cycles on Micron, the high of the cycle is where the PE is lowest. Meaning that when everyone has the highest earnings potential, like all their earnings, their forward earnings are going to be the best, that's when it's priced as high as it is because as soon as the margins compress, what happens? Their earnings go down and their PE goes up.
The structured call
The receipt
Publish-day price $$904.28 · the claim is anchored to the moment it was said.