Steve Miller 对 $SPX 的判断变化

2026-09-26
《US Stock Market - S&P 500 SPX NDX RUT & VIX Price Projections & Cycle Timing》
标普500中性偏空;动能在一个明确区间内减弱,需跌破75.06才构成看空信号,或升破7816/7960才延续看涨。

我们先从标普500指数开始。这是SPX指数的周线图,当然可以看到自2022年以来的牛市,这一牛市延续至今,期间在4月出现了一次重大回调,当时我们看到它在4月25日形成了那个底部。随后是今年年初、也就是3月出现的这次小幅回调。

We will start here with the "S&P 500" index. This is the weekly chart for the SPX index, and of course you can see a bull market since 2022, and that has continued with one major correction here in April, where we saw it form that bottom there on April 25.

Then that minor correction here that we saw in the first part of this year, in March.

2026-09-07
《REPLAY - US Stock Market SPX & NDX Cycle & Chart Analysis With Projections》
预测:标普500指数(SPX)表现强劲,但面临短期回调,目标位7528-7456;突破7770则否定看跌观点。

我们先看看标普500指数,SPX。同样,我们之前在这里看到的也是同样的情况,即可能再下跌两周。现在,次级支撑位就设在这里。

We'll take a look at the S&P 500 first, SPX. And again, the same thing we were looking at here, which is the possibility of another two weeks of decline. Now, the secondary support levels have been placed right here .

当我在本周早些时候进行分析时,市场似乎正在跌破日线级别,我显示它进一步向下倾斜,但现在我必须尊重我所看到的。这很强势,并且从这个早期低点已经走高,而纳斯达克在此处录得更深的低点。

问题是,这是否是我们一直在寻找的底部,价格只是保持在3个月区间内,然后向上突破?

When I conducted my analysis earlier in the week, and the market appeared to be breaking the daily level, I showed it to be sloping further downwards, but now I must respect what I see.

This is strong, and it has moved higher from this early low point where the Nasdaq has recorded a deeper low than this. The question is, was this the bottom we were looking for, where the price simply stayed within a 3-month range and then broke out upwards ?