Nvidia、Palantir、Reddit 等等。我的计划是长期持有这些标的。
Nvidia, Palantir, Reddit, etc. My plan is to be a long-term holder of those names.
Nvidia、Palantir、Reddit 等等。我的计划是长期持有这些标的。
Nvidia, Palantir, Reddit, etc. My plan is to be a long-term holder of those names.
好,我们名单上的第四只,Reddit。你今天喜欢 Reddit 的什么?Reddit 股价较历史高点下跌 45%。这里非常有趣的是增长叙事。我的意思是,我们已经连续两年实现 60% 或更高的季度营收增长。
而随着我继续从业务角度观察趋势,这是一家用户基数仍在以非常健康的速度增长的公司。所以,最近一个季度日活用户增长 18%。这里非常有趣的是,最近一个季度有 10 亿条新帖子。也就是说,你在 Reddit 上能找到的所有内容中有 4% 是在过去 3 个月里创建的。
所以参与度仍然非常强劲,管理层指出它最近做了一些改变。现在新用户留存率提升了 50%。留存率提升 50%。我认为这确实是个好兆头,会在数字中体现出来。所以广告主对 Reddit 平台越来越放心。
管理团队有点把它比作 Pinterest。就像在 Reddit 上有很高的购买意图。这让它对广告主更有利一些,但最近一个季度广告营收同比增长 64%,把它推到全年来看,仍然预期非常好的增长。
而且,利润增长快于营收。随便你挑哪个指标:自由现金流、经营现金流、净利润,所有这些在最近一个季度都同比增长了一倍以上。
All right, number four on our list, Reddit. What do you like about Reddit today? Reddit stock down 45% from its all-time high. What is so interesting here is the growth narrative.
I mean, we're at two years of 60% or greater quarterly revenue growth. And as I continue to look at the trends from the business perspective, you know, this is a company that is increasing in its user base still at a very healthy rate.
So, daily users up 18% in the most recent quarter. What's so interesting here is that you know a billion new posts were in the most recent quarter. That is 4% of all the material that you can find on Reddit was created in the last 3 months.
So the engagement is still very strong and management pointing out that it recently made some changes. It is now it now had a 50% improvement in new user retention. A 50% improvement in retention.
I think that really bodess well bearing out in the numbers here. So advertisers increasingly comfortable with the Reddit platform. It the management team is kind of talking about it like Pinterest.
Like there's high intent for making a purchase on Reddit. So that makes it a little bit more favorable to advertisers, but the ad revenue in the most recent quarter up 64% year-over-year as you push that out over the the whole year.
Still expecting really good growth. And you know, the profits are growing faster than revenue. Pick your metric. free cash flow, operating cash flow, net income, all of these more than doubled year-over-year in the most recent quarter.
接下来我想谈的是Reddit。Reddit的成交量没那么大,对吧?大约是过去30天平均成交量的五分之一左右,但这是一只正在下跌的股票。
The next stock I want to talk about is Reddit. Now, Reddit, not quite as much volume, right? about one fifth or so of the average volume compared to the last 30 days, but is a stock that's coming down.
我之所以想强调这一点,是因为与其他一些股票类似,我们可能正在下跌并跌破一些上升趋势线,或者试图这样做,对吧?Reddit经历了一次大幅抛售,对吧?它在7月底下跌了,因财报不佳下跌了约24%,随后出现了不错的反弹,就像我在特斯拉上说的那样,它试图回撤,实际上转为上涨,在填补了如此巨大的缺口之后,我怎么说来着,预计会出现多日抛售,连续1、2、3、4天下跌,跌幅达19%。
And the reason why I really wanted to highlight this is because similar to some of these other stocks, we're potentially coming down and breaking some up sloping trend lines or attempting to, right?
Reddit had a good sell, right? It it fell over here at the end of July. um about 24% off of poor earnings had a nice recovery and just like I said on Tesla right looked to retrace and actually went green and what did I say after filling a massive gap like that expect a multi-day sell 1 2 3 4 day sell down 19%
现在,Reddit,为什么在我看来它被低估了?Reddit目前是一家市值约290亿美元的公司,市盈率(TTM)为35.6倍,但预期市盈率为21.3倍。
Now, Reddit, why is it undervalued to me? Reddit right now is a company worth around $29 billion, has a trailing PE of 35.6 times, but a forward one of 21.3 times.
年初至今,该股下跌了36.7%,过去12个月下跌了30.4%。现在,Reddit,虽然你可能只看股价就说“这家公司肯定经营不善”,但实际上恰恰相反。该公司在过去几个季度的收入增长超过60%,所以增长肯定是存在的。市场仍然预期这家公司在可预见的未来会快速增长。
Year-to-date, the stock is down 36.7%, and over the past 12 months, the stock is down 30.4%. Now, Reddit, while you might only look at the stock and say, "Oh, the company is definitely not doing well."
Well, actually, the it's the contrary. The company has grown revenue by over 60% for the last X quarters, so the growth is definitely there. The market is still expecting this company to grow quite rapidly over the foreseeable future.