MELI 全部观点
MELI 这一页 11 条观点条目,其中 0 条方向发生变化。
现在,说的是拉美市场,这也是我投资Mercado Libre的同样原因。因为这些国家正在非常快速地前进,或者说增长。
Now, it's about the Latin American markets , which is the same reason I'm an investor in Mercado Libre. Because these countries are moving, or growing, very fast.
好,现在我们继续,谈谈第三只有大量更新出来的股票,这只就是 Marcato Libre。Marcotta Libre 的股价最近见顶超过每股 2,000 美元,并且一直在这个区间附近徘徊,我认为这很值得高兴,而且早就该如此,我仍然相信 Marcato Libre 在市场上被极度低估,正如我之前所说,我认为它仍然是目前整个市场上提供最大价值的股票之一。
All right, now let's move on and talk about the third stock that has had a lot of updates coming out and this one is Marcato Libre. Marcotta Libre stock recently peaked over $2,000 per share and it has been hovering around this range now which I think is great to see and more than overdue and I still believe that Marcato Libre is extremely undervalued in the market and as I have said previously I think that it is still one of the stocks offering the most value across the entire market right now as well.
我是 Mac Libra 的忠实粉丝,或者我们都是。以及它背后的商业模式。
Um, I'm a big fan of Mac Libra or we both are. Um, and the business model behind it.
当你看 Mac Libra 时,他们给了你想要的一切,关于他们的贷款账簿等等。
Um, when you look at Mac Libra, they give you everything that you can wish for um, regarding to their loan book and all of that stuff.
而 MacB 曾经也是如此,但后来他们推出了新贷款。这意味着贷款规模更大。贷款不仅针对接下来的 12 周,而是接下来的 12 个月。所有这些都从结构上增加了某些贷款违约的可能性。
whereas it used to be the same for MacB but then they push into new loans. Um that means the loans are are larger. The loans are not only for the next 12 weeks, but they're actually for the next 12 months.
And all of that structurally increases the likelihood that some loans will fail.
Mercado Libre 达到了一个重要里程碑,在最近一个季度营收超过 100 亿美元,同比增长 50%。管理层最近实施了一项新策略,降低了免费送货的门槛,为消费者增加了便利。
Mercado Libre reached an important milestone surpassing $10 billion in revenue representing 50% year-over-year growth in its most recently completed quarter. Management recently implemented a new strategy lowering the threshold for free shipping adding convenience to consumers.
所以当 Mercado Libre 开始这项策略时,我很乐观它会成功,因为我在 Amazon 身上看到过类似情况,而到目前为止它确实成功了,营收显著增长。
So when Mercado Libre started this strategy, I was optimistic that it would be successful because of what I've seen from Amazon and so far it has been successful with revenue increasing meaningfully.
那么,接下来我们直接进入第一只股票,即 Mercado Libre,股票代码为 MELI。这是一只我非常看好并在六月初开始大力推荐的股票,当时我发布了一个视频,标题是《我要买下我能买到的每一股》。
在那个视频中,我介绍了 Mercado Libre。
So, with that, let's jump right into our first stock, which is going to be Marcato Libre, stock ticker Mi. This is a name that I've really liked and really started pushing back at the start of June when I published a video titled I'm buying every share I can. And in that video, I covered Marcato Libre.
下一个是 Mercado Libre。我没有在 1500 时买入,现在股价到了 2,000。业绩不错,一切看起来都没问题。存在信贷问题,但如果几个月内没有发生什么大事,这些问题就会平息,我们将回归增长的故事,所以我把它留在那里。
Next one. Mercado Libé. I didn't buy at 1500. Now, we are at 2,000. Good results. Everything looks okay. Credit issues. as there are issues if nothing happens over a few months then those issues subdue and we are back to the story of growth so I'm leaving it there
Mercado Libre 有自己的金融科技业务,在很大程度上与 New Bank 相同。但我认为 Mercado Libre 实际上有一些竞争优势,因为它拥有更多关于客户的数据,因为它的许多客户也使用其电子商务平台。
因此,Mercado Libre 还可以看到客户在电子商务平台上花费了什么,并获得更多的洞察和数据。此外,Mercado Libre 的金融科技业务在过去 12 个月中实现了 150 亿美元的收入,这使其大约落后 New Bank 两个季度。
换句话说,它今天几乎与 New Bank 规模相同。但 Mercado Libre 的整个业务目前股市估值约为 1000 亿美元。所以,额外支付 300 亿美元,我得到的是大致相同规模的金融科技业务,可能延迟约 6 个月。
拉丁美洲最大的电子商务平台,一个庞大的媒体和订阅业务,以及一个庞大、高利润且快速增长的广告业务。同样,所有这些额外只需约 300 亿美元。所以我认为 Mercado Libre 拥有更强的护城河,更多的顺风,以及更加多元化的业务。
因此,我认为 Mercado Libre 的溢价是合理的,而且我认为 Mercado Libre 在今天的市场上甚至比 New Bank 更便宜。
Marcato Libre has its own fintech business that is largely the same as Newbank. But I think that Marcato Libre actually has some competitive advantages because it has even more data on its customers because a lot of its customers also use its e-commerce platform.
So Marcato Libre can see what its customers are spending money on on the e-commerce platform as well and get even more insights and data there. Additionally, Marcato Libre's fintech business did $15 billion in revenue in the trailing 12 months, which puts it roughly two quarters behind where New Bank is.
Or in other words, it's almost the same size as New Bank today. But Marcott Libresy's entire business is valued at around 100 billion in the stock market right now. So for an extra $30 billion I am getting roughly the same size fintech business maybe delayed by about 6 months.
The largest e-commerce platform in Latin America a massive media and subscriptions business and also a massive highly profitable and rapidly growing advertising business. Again all of that for an extra roughly $30 billion.
So I think that Marcado Libre has a little bit of a stronger moat, much more tailwinds and just a much more diversified business too. So I think that the premium for Marcato Libre is more than justified and I think that Marcato Libre is even cheaper in the market today than New Bank.
除了Capital One,以及类似1994年或2006年的Capital One比较之外,当我听到这个时,脑海中浮现的两家公开市场公司作为松散类比,是MELI,MELI,Mercado Libre,和Kaspi,K A S P I。
You know, the the two public market companies that come to mind when I hear this as loose parallels aside from Capital One and like, you know, the hey, is this Capital One in '94 or 2006 comps, the two that come to mind would be MELI, MELI, Mercado Libre, and Kaspi, K A S P I.
我认为MELI有点不同,我觉得他们更侧重零售,但他们确实也有金融科技板块。而且这两家都像这样吸引投资者,你可以看基金信函,我认为那里的投资者很聪明。而且两家都没有像我想象的那样成功,你知道,两家仍在良好增长,两家的ROE都不错。
And I I MELI I think is a little bit of a different business. I think they have more retail focus as well, but they they do have a fintech segment here. And both have been kind of catnip for investors in a similar way to this, you know, you you can look at fund letters and people and I think smart investors there.
And both haven't worked out as well as I think they would have, you know, both are still growing nicely, ROEs on both are nice.
接下来,我必须强调 Mercado Libre。它是整个南美洲最好的公司。它与亚马逊非常相似,但这也是很多投资者搞错的地方。
Next, I have to highlight Mercado Libre. It's the best company in all of South America. It is very similar to Amazon, but that's also where a lot of investors get it wrong.
确实,Mercado Libre 是一家大型零售企业,但它与亚马逊最大的区别在于,亚马逊专注于云托管和零售,而 Mercado Libre 专注于金融方面。这就是这只股票变得非常有趣的地方。
It is true that Mercado Libre is a massive retail business, but its biggest difference from Amazon is that while Amazon focused on cloud hosting and retail, Mercado Libre is focused on the financial aspect.
And this is where this stock gets really interesting.
这些大趋势极具吸引力,以至于彼得——他在Melly担任了25年的前首席财务官——实际上辞去了那份工作,加入DLo担任首席执行官。
The megat trends are so attractive that Peter, the former CFO of Melly where he worked 25 years, actually left that job to join DLo as a CEO.
所以,如果你想想New Bank和Mac Libra,这两家我们投资组合中持有或拥有的公司,它们提供信用卡,例如,它们的信用卡运行在Visa和Mastercard的通道上。
So if you just think about New Bank and Mac Libra which are two companies that we hold or own in our portfolio they offer credit cards and their credit cards for example run on Visa and Mastercard Rail.