$CVS

CVS

CVS Health Corporation Common Stock

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截至 09-26
09-04
Steve Miller发布 2026-09-04
《How to Read a Late-Cycle Rally | Shorting Opportunity in CVS?》
$CVS看跌
CVS的上涨在中期内可能失败,预计在接近101见顶后跌至约90.16。

接下来我们看CVS,这是最后一个。我认为这张图很有意思,值得密切关注。CVS预计从10.5跌至12.7。这是第32条K线。多年来这一直很明显。一张非常好的图。

Let's move on to CVS, this is the last one. I think this is an interesting graph that deserves close attention. CVS has an expected decline from 10.5 to 12.7. This is tape 32. It's been obvious for years. A really good graph.

记住,在周期接近尾声时,通常会发生的情况是你会看到一些抛售,对吧?你在这里可以看到。哎呀,我们进入了一个箱体。这里,不是吗?看看后期的高点。你看到了吗?我不知道。我只是想强调这一点。

这很重要。看看延迟的上涨。看看相对强弱指数(RS)的角度。这里下方。这里下方。这里完全平坦。我本来不打算在那里做任何操作,但我看到了最后的下跌走势。后来的高点极其有趣。那里小幅上涨,而RS指标在底部保持稳定。

这是一个真正经典的走势。高点在这里,RS在底部保持稳定。看看发生了什么。对底部的测试,然后它被击穿了。这里,RS指标有轻微的上扬,所以这不是一个理想的设置。但当你看到RS指标坚定向下并伴随反弹,就像它再次出现的那样,我认为这为类似这里发生的情况奠定了基础。

Remember, towards the end of the cycle, what usually happens is that you see some selling, right? You can see that here. Oops, we're entering a box here. here. Here, isn't it? Look at the late highs.

Do you see that? I don't know . I just want to highlight this. This is important. Look at the delayed rise. Look at the angle of the Relative Strength Index (RS). Here below. Here below.

It's completely flat here. I wasn't going to do anything there, but I saw a final downward movement. The later elevations are extremely interesting. A slight rise there with the RS indicator remaining stable at the bottom.

This is a truly classic move. The elevation is here, with RS remaining stable at the bottom. Look what happened. A test of the bottoms, then he was beaten. Here, there was a slight upward swing in the RS indicator, so it's not an ideal setup.

But when you see the RS indicator firmly down with a bounce, as it did again, I think that sets the stage for something similar to what happened here.

他说在等
价格相对于101水平的走势
未能突破101并开始回落
中期日线价格图
若未能突破则支持看跌论点;若突破101则削弱该论点
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