"Palantir 的估值容易在高市销率倍数附近停滞，即便营收增长强劲也难以突破。"
Publish-day $135.53 · 06/07
The $1.75T IPO No One Can Price | 6 Things That Surprised Us This Week
Excess Returns 正在加入 TickerReceipts 的分析师索引。其覆盖范围包含 21 只股票；视频处理完成后会显示已验证的预测数据。
建立中
我们仍在建立预测记录。平均周期：3-6 个月。
6
看多立场
4
看空立场
10
中性
0
等待验证
预测平均在 3-6 个月后得出结果。
观点
$PLTR看空 · 2
"Palantir 按市销率计算在标普500中定价最高，而股价在市场已消化其销售增长故事后陷入停滞。"
Publish-day $135.53 · 06/06
“A Chaotic 30 Days” | What Happens When SpaceX Goes Public
$TSLA看多 · 3
"特斯拉的估值可在远期盈利大幅下滑时持续攀升，凸显“马斯克的世界”能凌驾于基本面之上。"
Publish-day $391.00 · 06/07
The $1.75T IPO No One Can Price | 6 Things That Surprised Us This Week
"特斯拉的估值可以与下滑的远期盈利脱钩，因为市场仍在不断推高其盈利倍数。"
Publish-day $391.00 · 06/06
“A Chaotic 30 Days” | What Happens When SpaceX Goes Public
$WMT看多 · 1
"沃尔玛通过拥抱电商并利用品牌、人力资本和网络效应，在零售颠覆中不仅幸存下来，而且最终蓬勃发展。"
Publish-day $113.06 · 06/02
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$NYT看多 · 1
"纽约时报通过利用无形资产并拥抱技术转型，在报纸行业的颠覆中生存并蓬勃发展。"
Publish-day $75.24 · 06/02
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$CRM中性 · 1
"Salesforce 根据论文的无形资产价值指标比 HubSpot 更便宜，显示即使是 CRM 类公司也存在内部估值差距。"
Publish-day $200.84 · 06/02
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$HUBS中性 · 1
"HubSpot 在无形资产价值指标上的估值高于 Salesforce，表明 AI 担忧后两只个股可能走势分化。"
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$GDDY中性 · 1
"GoDaddy的护城河较弱，域名及网站类企业更容易被颠覆，这一特征与框架讨论一致。"
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$WIX中性 · 1
"Wix 被指为在颠覆风险下受冲击的软件股，裁员与护城河弱化相关。"
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$ADBE中性 · 1
"Adobe is referenced as being down sharply in the software sell-off, illustrating the broad valuation drawdown dispersion."
Publish-day $262.11 · 06/02
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$DUOL中性 · 1
"Duolingo is framed as a consumer-facing software business where users can switch apps easily, implying lower moat thickness."
Publish-day $109.95 · 06/02
He Quantified 200 Years of Disruption | Kai Wu on Separating Software Survivors from Value Traps
$SPX中性 · 1
"S&P 500年初至今约上涨9%，随市场上修预期与行业看法向科技和能源倾斜而推进。"
The Market Cares About Fundamentals — Just Not Yours | The Weekly Wrap - 5/31/2026
$AMD看空 · 1
"AMD期权对“上冲崩塌”定价偏激，看涨需求极端，波动交易驱动的回调风险更高。"
Publish-day $516.10 · 05/30
The Three Cracks in the AI Trade | What Could Derail the Market's Biggest Bet
$MU看空 · 1
"对$MU而言，反弹伴随看涨期权定价过度，回撤的可能性上升，且波动主导的调整将推动重新定价。"
Publish-day $971.00 · 05/30
The Three Cracks in the AI Trade | What Could Derail the Market's Biggest Bet
$NVDA中性 · 2
"以AI上涨为主的$NVDA表现，历史上若再度出现认购端过热，往往会在后续与双位数回撤同时出现。"
Publish-day $211.14 · 05/30
The Three Cracks in the AI Trade | What Could Derail the Market's Biggest Bet
"NVDA适合按市值配置，因为超级云商的AI支出短期难降温，且CUDA带来难以复制的深度依赖。"
Publish-day $214.25 · 05/28
Cheap Is a Warning, Not a Thesis | Adam Parker on What This Market Is Really Pricing
$CRWD看多 · 1
"CRWD 在软件端更具抗压性，因高成本的安全方案在 AI 冲击担忧后仍呈“继续付费”特征。"
Publish-day $476.53 · 05/28
Cheap Is a Warning, Not a Thesis | Adam Parker on What This Market Is Really Pricing
$PANW看多 · 1
"安全预算即使在AI工具可被替代的预期下也会延续，$PANW 相比更便宜的软件更可能跑赢。"
Publish-day $215.60 · 05/28
Cheap Is a Warning, Not a Thesis | Adam Parker on What This Market Is Really Pricing