这是Spider Metals and Mining ETF,代码为XME。让我们先来看月线图。在底部,我们有周期括号,显示平均周期长度为16根K线。这些周期括号是一种绘图工具,显示理想周期,实际周期低点由这些垂直虚线标出,你可以将其与理想周期括号进行比较,以了解周期的一致性。
在最近这个理想周期低点附近,我们有这些蓝色垂直虚线。它们代表我们预期最新周期形成低点、价格开始进入新周期上升阶段的时间段。如你所见,这可能在上一月已经发生。那将使我们距离周期低点一个月,但我们仍在时间窗口内,这是一个风险期。
而我们的反转侦察指标,这条绿色和紫色的带子,尚未转正以帮助我们确认那个低点。然而,下一个周线周期要到2月才到期形成低点,那会是很晚的时候。所以这就是为什么我们认为上个月的低点可能是同步的长期、中期和短期低点。
现在,这当然是一个长期图表。因此,我们对未来一年的预测是至少重新测试13568这个高点。我们有一些更高的扩展位,大约在141和152。
It's the Spider Metals and Mining ETF, ticker symbol XME. Let's begin by taking a look at the monthly chart. On the bottom, we have a cycle brackets showing an average cycle length of 16 bars.
These cycle brackets are a drawing tool showing ideal cycles where the actual cycle troughs formed is shown by these vertical dotted lines which you can then compare to the ideal cycle brackets to get a sense of the consistency of the cycles.
Around this most recent ideal cycle trough, we have these blue vertical dashed lines. These represent a period of time when we expect the latest cycle to form a trough and for price to begin moving up in the rising phase of the new cycle.
As you can see, that may have happened last month. That would put us one month off the cycle low, but we are still inside the timing window, which is a period of risk. And our reversal scout, this green and purple ribbon has not yet returned to positive to help us confirm that trough.
However, the next weekly cycle isn't due to trough until February, which would be way out here quite late. So that is why we believe this low last month may have been the synced long-term, intermediate term, and short-term low.
Now, this is a long-term chart, of course. So, our projection over the course of the next year would be for at least a retest of this high at 13568. We do have some extension levels higher than that at about 141 and 152.