如果我们现在跳到XLP，这显然比其他任何东西都更弱，从921到大约1116，处于修正模式，RS已经转而下行。在8224有一个78.6的斐波那契位。短期上，有一个中周期低谷预计就在现在左右。
所以鉴于我们正处在约83美元的78.6斐波那契位，寻找一次小幅反弹上行、回到这里大约84.60美元到85.20美元之间的这些斐波那契位是合理的。然后在大约85.70有一个61.8。
所以在这附近某个位置，出现一次反弹上行是合理的。让我们看看ASL MCM在各个时间框架上的情况。在中期，它是看空的。短期它是看空的，而近期它是中性的。所以，留意这个近期偏向能否转为正面，从而给我们一些迹象，表明日线柱上可能正在形成一个次要低谷。
If we jump over now to the XLP and this is obviously more weak uh versus anything else 921 to around 1116 in a corrective mode the RS has turned down. You have a 78.6 fib at 8224.
Shortterm there is a midcycle trough that is due right around now. So given that we are sitting at the 78.6 6 fib at about $83. It makes sense to look for a little pop back to the upside into these fibs here from around $8460 to 8520.
Then you have a 61.8 at about 8570. So somewhere around here makes sense here for a pop back to the upside. Let's see what's happening in terms of of the ASL MCM across time frames.
On the intermediate term, it is bearish. Short-term it is it is bearish and near-term, it is neutral. So, watch to see if that near-term bias can turn positive to give us some indications of a minor trough that may be forming on the daily bar.
