现在来看XLF。这是XLF，也把它调出来。可以看到，XLF在中期是中性。短期在MCM上略微偏空。看看图上是什么情况。从914到大约112的上升阶段已经持续了一段时间。但看周线时间框架上RS这个非常细微的转向，至少给出了一些停滞的迹象。
目前它仍守在这个旧高点5652之上。如果失守该水平，我们就会看向更低的位置。但看整体的转换，非常非常非常强。这表明XLF接下来很可能仍会创出新高，可能是在略微走低之后。还得再看看。
短期有一个低点，预计在911到大约9:24。显然这是一个非常强劲的上升趋势，现在正转向更多的区间震荡。你可以看到就在那里。所以我们会关注可能先略微走低，然后再度上冲，这必须密切关注。
如果它过早失败然后滚落，那就会让我们看向下一个低点，如果指针放在这里，大约在10月中旬；或者如果它下跌并迅速朝这个高点到那个低点的78.6斐波那契回撤位移动，那就会提高你在这里看到中期低点形成的概率。
所以，再次强调，始终要考虑这个走势的两面。显然我们会为三级和四级会员密切关注这里的机会。
Let's jump over now to the XLF. Okay, so this is the XLF and let's pop this over too. And you can see on the intermediate term for the XLF, it is neutral. Shortterm, uh, it is slightly bearish there for the MCM.
Let's see what's going on on the chart. 914 to around 112 rising phase that has been going on for a while. But look at that very subtle turn here in the RS on the weekly time frame, giving you some signs of stalling at least.
Here we are so far holding above this old high at 5652. If it can lose that level, we we're going to be looking for a little bit lower. But look at the overall translation. Very very very strong.
And and it indicates we are likely going to see new highs still here coming up in the XLF. Uh possibly after a little bit lower. We'll have to see. Shortterm there is a low that is due 911 to around 9:24. uh you know obviously a very strong uptrend that is now transitioning to more of a trading range.
You can see that right there. So we're going to be watching for a little bit lower possibly and then another pop and you have to watch that closely. If that fails early and then rolls down, well, that would have us look at that next low, which is due if we have our pointer out here right around the middle part of October, or if it sells off and starts to move quickly back towards the 78.6 fib of this high to that low, well, that would raise the odds that you're seeing an intermediate term trough form here.
So, again, always think about both sides of that play. And obviously we will be watching this closely for our level three and four members uh for opportunities.
