David Lin 对 $TLT 的判断变化

2026-09-24看跌
《2027 Market Bloodbath: Worse Than 2022's Bear Market | Keith McCullough》
说话者对TLT(国债)持有最大限度的空头头寸。

所以,我已经把美国国债的空头做到了极致。我做空 TLT、Zeros、ZROZ、LQD,也就是投资级信用债,还有高收益信用债 HYG、Jojo,后者算是个装腔作势的基金经理。

So, like I'm I'm as short treasuries as you can be. I'm short TLT, Zeros, ZROZ, LQD, which is investment grade credit, high yield credit, HYG, Jojo, which is kind of like a poser manager.

方向翻转
2026-09-10看涨
《Oil To 'Break' Everything; Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold Crashing 'Back Down' | Mike McGlone》
TLT相当于标普500的看跌期权,具有正持有收益且无时间损耗,正等待催化剂。

这就是为什么我现在看债券市场。如果你看TLT或债券,它本质上就是标普500的看跌期权,还带有正carry、没有时间损耗,只是在等着一个触发因素。

And that's why I look at a bond market right now. If you look at TLT or bonds is basically it's essentially a a put on the S&P 500 with positive carry, no time decay, and it's just, you know, waiting around for a trigger.

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2026-08-31看跌
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