T3 Live 对 $SPY 的判断变化

2026-09-16看涨
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由于近期突破具有可持续性,预计SPY将形成更高的低点并在随后走高。

SPY 大概率会上涨。如果你看标普500指数,这是一次非常看涨的走势。所以,是的,我们今天确实出现了一次跌破,但我相信这会引发长期看跌的止损吗?我不这么认为。因为那次突破,我们仍然处在那个突破区间之内。

而且注意这个突破是怎么形成的。我们最初先出现了一次跌破。于是所有人都做空或卖出了自己的仓位,然后我们就暴涨上去了。这通常是可持续的。所以,无论这里发生什么,我们最终应该会形成一个更高的低点,并在之后继续上涨。

也许需要一段时间,因为这里最终会像一个圆弧顶,一个看跌的顶部。但,我们拭目以待。

Probably the spy spy will move up. If you look at the the the S&P 500, this was a really bullish move. So, yeah, we we got a breakdown today, but do I believe it's going to lead to a long-term bearish stop?

I don't think so. Because of that breakout that we got, we're still inside of that breakout. And notice how the breakout formed. We initially got a breakdown. So, everybody went short or sold their positions and then we went exploded higher.

That's that's usually sustainable. So, whatever happens here, we should end up with a higher low and end up moving up later on. Maybe might take a while because this ends up being like a rounded top, bearish top. But, uh, we'll see.

2026-09-06
《Actionable Swing Trade Ideas for September 8 – 11, 2026 | Market Update》
SPY在跌破失败后反弹,但平坦的20日均线表明盘整/来回震荡,而非立即继续上行。

也许在SPY上看得更清楚。在跌破失败后出现了令人难以置信的上涨。这是SPY的日线图。20日均线走平,所以我不认为它会真的继续上涨。我预计会先出现一些来回波动。

You can see it better maybe in the spy. Just an unbelievable move up after a breakdown failure. This is the daily chart of the spy. The 20 MA is flat, so I'm not expecting it to really keep going. I'm expecting some back and forth first.