LULU 全部观点

Let's uh look at band and then I I also see Lululemon being asked about

I'll actually go to a bigger chart here on Lulu just so we can get a better view of it. I guess the question is, is it finally turning around? And I would say uh I don't know because it looked we've had this kind of price action before where it looked like it was putting in a a bottom or a base of some kind uh only to trade up briefly and then go lower later.

Last year, we published a video about the rise and fall of Lululemon. Over the past decade, Lululemon has grown rapidly and established itself as one of the world’s largest luxury sportswear brands.

The company was extremely profitable and became one of the most sought-after stocks on Wall Street. But over the past three years, the company has experienced a historic decline.

You can see that just by looking at the stock price, which peaked at over $500 in late 2023. This gave the company a market capitalization of over $60 billion.

Nike and Lululemon are among the underperforming sportswear retailers, with their shares trading near 52- week lows. I wanted to know which of these two declining stocks represents a better buying opportunity at the moment .

Both Nike and Lululemon are facing similar headwinds that are hindering sales growth and even pushing them into decline. Overall, Nike is still a much larger company with sales of $46 billion over the past twelve months, while Lululemon comes right behind it.

Lululemon's stock was worth $516 and everyone absolutely loved it. Today, the stock plummeted to below $96, a staggering 81% drop from its all-time high.

At a time when it was expensive and popular, everyone wanted to get a share of it. Now that it has become cheap and hated, hardly anyone wants it, except for one man, Michael Perry, the legend of "The Big Short," who is buying more of it as we speak .

So, in this video, we're going to run through the basics of Lululemon's business. We're going to look at some of their numbers, and then we're going to try to come up with a fair value for Lululemon stock to see if it's worth investing in today.

Now, Lululemon's stock over the past year or so hasn't done that well. The stock is down a decent amount. So, the real question is, is the stock going to recover? Why has this happened?

and can we profit from it now that it has happened.

The headline is Lululemon, the yoga pants company. Bur didn't just buy a little. He made it his largest position estimated around 17% of his entire portfolio.

In his own words, he called it the trickster in my portfolio. when he said, and I quote, "This time the trickster is my largest position." Then Lululemon reported a genuinely awful quarter and the stock crashed below $100.

The big aab be is just coming out right saying I'm short in Lulu actually. You know what? What is that at since the since the earnings report? I feel like it's actually been a hot minute since I've taken a look at that.

Still sub 100. And so and look at this big. So we actually got a little bit of a pop out of the open here. Now I don't know if you're short it today but looks like we did get a little bit of a pop and then it rolled back over Lulu.

Yeah, this it looks like this one's this going to continue to come in uh until you know 80. I think we talked about 80 being the start of a support range. 80 85 I think it was the level that we gave.

Well, I think I think 80 75 80 uh would be my 85. Well, I mean, I I I guess I like 80 better to be honest, but you you're probably right. 85 maybe include.

All right. Right. And so let's move to your next one here because I'm excited to hear how you're looking at Lululemon right now. I mean, really struggling. Investors were really hoping for some strong quarterly results from this company.

They did not come. The turnaround isn't happening. They're citing, you know, more uh pressure and bad press on social media. They're having inconsistent reactions to their product launches.

A lot of issues here, but a new CEO in play, so there is the potential for a strategy change. So, how are you looking at Lulu?

Lululemon sales fell by 4% compared to the same quarter last year and comparable store sales fared even worse. Unsurprisingly, the stock price collapsed following this update as investors were disappointed in its performance. I'm certainly disappointed.

I own Lululemon stock in my portfolio and I had previously ranked Lululemon stock as one of the best stocks to buy this year.

You have Lulu still popping up here now. Dude, this Lulu is crazy. I can't believe it's back to 100. Okay. Is it time to buy more puts, right?

I'm we I'm going to give it a little more time to see like I want to see confirmation back to the downside here before I get back in because I tried that the other day and I got crushed yesterday. I mean, luckily it played out for me today.

For example, Lululemon is the top investment from Michael Burry.

Now, we start things off by looking at Lululemon, the yoga pants company, and this one is in a lot of trouble. The stock price continues to plummet. In fact, when we look at Lululemon this year, it's quite literally one of the worst performing stocks of the year.

Year-to-date, it's down 51%. If we zoom out in the past trailing year, it's down 38%. The past 5 years, check this out. Lululemon is down 76%.

we take a look at Lululemon's one-day chart following its earnings report late yesterday. The stock experienced a sharp decline following disappointing comparative sales results across the board.

This earnings report and today's reaction are the focus of morning trading, and now Marley Cayden joins us for a closer look . Marley, we discussed these numbers as soon as they were released yesterday, and they were disappointing from the start.

So, Lululemon falling pretty sharply in early trading yesterday reporting earnings after the bell collapsing basically down 20%.

Then Lululemon broke out. It had this monstrous move up and now it's cratering back down. What this tells me is as a swing trade, I love this level. Now, just because I love it doesn't mean it's going to work out, but probabilitywise, this should be significant technical support.

Right around $81 to $80 per share on Lulu. Now, we're still at 98, so it's still a ways to go, but we could be here in a few weeks. I mean, maybe even less depending on how this thing trades.

And that to me would be a great buying opportunity on Lululemon. So, keep that one on your radar.

Anyway, Lululemon has become a " lemon" and is now less than 100. I don't know where it will open today, but it's always an interesting story . What happened?

Well, we have revenues finally declining significantly, by 4%. Comparative sales are down by 9%. If you compare it to the previous quarter, it was bad, but not that bad. It was still a growing company.

Comparable sales were also high. If you compare it to 2024, it looked much better with higher profits.

Last but not least, Lululemon, which I calculated a fair value at $168. The current market price is $122. And that leaves over 38% upside for Lululemon stock investors over the next 12 to 18 months.

One of the more bullish factors for me with Lululemon is the brand equity, which allows the company to sell products at supremely high prices compared to its competition. It generates profit margins in the best of the best in terms of this industry and it's the brand equity that allows the company to charge those high prices and generate sell through.

Ant Lulu cheaper growing like crazy in Asia. And I also think Lululemon is a huge position for him if not the top position.

Similarly, Lululemon has passed that four billion let's say ceiling went to 11 billion in revenues. But since what was this 2021, 2019, 2018, it's grew for seven years at great rates. Since then, the stock has done nothing.

And I want to actually start by giving another introduction to how exactly the intrinsic value portfolio works. And I think this will be particularly important today because there will be positions that we discuss in which one of us is or was more bullish than the other one.

So the basics basically the intrinsic value portfolio is a shared portfolio that Sean Kyle and I manage and the way we handle this is basically by a simple rule. So the portfolio is obviously a paid portfolio since we don't give any financial advice nor do we actually manage money.

However, each of the positions owned in the portfolio has to be in the personal portfolio of at least one of us hosts. Some are obviously in all of our portfolios, but the main rule, one of us has to own the company.

So, for all the stocks in our intrinsic value portfolio and the ones that we discuss today, you can be sure that we actually lost money on them.