关于IWM的看法。我得再多观察它。我一直在看Q's,但它很强。我不会逆着它做。我现在不会逆着任何东西做。
IWM thoughts. I I gotta watch it more. I've just been watching the Q's, but it's strong. I wouldn't go against that. I wouldn't go against anything right now.
IWM 这一页 11 条观点条目,其中 0 条方向发生变化。
关于IWM的看法。我得再多观察它。我一直在看Q's,但它很强。我不会逆着它做。我现在不会逆着任何东西做。
IWM thoughts. I I gotta watch it more. I've just been watching the Q's, but it's strong. I wouldn't go against that. I wouldn't go against anything right now.
然后是 IWM,看跌趋势,结构向下破位。还没有出现更低的高点和更低的低点。
And then the IWM, bearish trend, break of structure to the downside. Don't have the lower lower lows and lower highs yet.
我全面看到了看跌信号。SPY、Q's、IWM,全都是更低的高点、更低的低点,全都是结构向下破位,全都处于看跌趋势中。
I've got I've got bearish indications across the board. SPY Q's IWM, all lower highs, lower lows, all breaks of structure to the downside, all in a bare trend.
其原因取决于我在观察FEZ、XRT和罗素指标时将要向你展示的图表。
The reason for this depends on the charts that I will show you while looking at FEZ, XRT and the Russell indicator.
我们来看一下这里的罗素指数,它讲述的是一个完全不同的故事。罗素指数要弱得多。有些人问我,为什么罗素指数这么弱,为什么它在这段时间里下跌得如此剧烈。
Let's look at Russell's index here; that tells a completely different story. The Russell index is much weaker. Hmm, some people are asking me why the Russell index is so weak, and why it is declining so sharply during this period.
罗素指数因利率形势而向下运行。如果10年期美国国债收益率达到5%,罗素指数中超过三分之一拥有浮动利率债务的公司的盈利将受到损害,而且相当一部分罗素股票已经在亏损。
The Russell index is moving downwards due to the interest rate situation. If 10-year Treasury yields reach 5%, the earnings of more than a third of Russell Index companies with variable-interest debt will be hurt, and a significant portion of Russell stocks are already losing money.
所以,如果你看 IWM,也就是小盘股,你会看到很多疲软。
And so, if you look at the IWM, the small caps, you're going to see a lot of weakness.
我给你们看的另一个指数是这个代表小盘股的 IWM,也就是 Russell 2000。它显示出很多疲软。
And one other index I'm showing you is this small caps IWM, uh the Russell 2000. And that is showing a lot of weakness.
让我们也快速检查一下IWM,看看今天表现如何。所以,IWM,这很有趣。IWM在2926065附近形成双底。看看IWM是否也能反转,会非常有趣。
Let's also check the IWM here real quick and see how that's doing today. So, IWM, this is interesting. IWM forming a double bottom here around 2926065. Be very interesting to see if IWM can reverse this as well.
IWM回落了,我看到很多小盘股也在回落。这让我怀疑是否与利率有关。
IWM pulled and I see a lot of the smaller names pulling too. That had me wondering if it was something rate uh wise.
如果你看IWM的周线图,那是一个周线买入设置。看起来很美。
If you look at the weekly chart of the IWM, that's a weekly buy setup. Looks beautiful.
但看起来IWM目前看起来最看涨。让我们看看这个。确实IWM看涨趋势,更高的高点和更高的低点,以及结构的突破。确实在这里。向上突破结构。所以目前指数门说风险偏好开启,IWM看起来买入看涨期权是可行的。
But it seems that it's the IWM that looks the most bullish right now. Let's take a look at this. So indeed IWM bullish trend edge higher highs and higher lows and a break of structure.
Indeed right in here. Break of structure to the upside. So at the moment right now index gate says risk on IWM looks like calls are a go here.
今年早些时候,我们对罗素2000 ETF做出了判断,它已经上涨了超过22%。我们相信,标普500和QQQ在未来10或15年内可能带来较低的回报,但根据其历史,罗素2000可能是最好的机会之一。
Earlier this year, we made a call on the Russell 2000 ETF, and it's up over 22%. We believe that the S&P 500 and QQQ could deliver lower returns over the next 10 or 15 years, but the Russell 2000 could be one of the best opportunities out there based on its history.
好的,当我们转向小盘股领域时,我想先从IWM开始。你可以看到发生了什么。我是说,这是今年表现最好的指数之一,相对强弱证明了这一点,因为自年中以来,它一直在形成更高的高点和更高的低点。
它开始向上转折,并一直守住移动平均线。我们希望看到这种趋势持续下去。我们要确保它能持续。
Okay, as we switch over to the small cap area, I do want to start out with the IWM. You can see what's taken place. I mean, this has been the best performer of the indexes this year and we've got relative strength to kind of prove that as this has made higher highs and higher lows really since the middle of last year.
It started to turn up and it's been holding the moving average. We want to see that to continue. We want to make sure that continues.