The Intrinsic Value Podcast 对 $GOOGL 的判断变化

2026-09-20
《Alphabet (GOOGL): The Megacap That Still Might Be Underrated》
Alphabet 是一家拥有持久护城河和强劲增长的卓越企业,但由于资本密集度上升以及 AI 回报的不确定性,其估值如今比一年前更接近合理水平。

大约18个月前,Shawn曾推荐Alphabet,认为它是Mag 7中最便宜的一只,当时市场正忙着为搜索的消亡定价。但自那之后,该股大约翻了一倍,而搜索的消亡始终没有真正出现。

About 18 months ago, Shawn pitched Alphabet as the cheapest of the Mag 7 back when the market was busy pricing in the death of search. But since that episode, the stock has roughly doubled and the death of search never actually showed up.

真正出现的是这样一家公司:它如今计划在单一年份里投入约2000亿美元用于数据中心,已完全停止回购自家股票,并已筹集超过1000亿美元资金来为这些支出提供资金。

What did show up as a company that now plans to spend around $200 billion in a single year on data centers, has stopped buying back its own stock entirely, and has raised over hundred billion in capital to fund this spending.

2026-08-16看涨
《Adobe, Lululemon, PayPal – Are our Biggest Losers a Buy Now?》
谷歌是一项安全的科技投资;尽管估值较高,但近期表现强劲。

想要谷歌的云收入?它就在那里。

Want Google's cloud revenue? It's there.

尽管如此,他刚刚向 Alphabet 投资了数百亿美元,我们知道是巴菲特而不是 Abel 做出了那个决定,这很有趣,基本上他是在说,忽视科技公司是一个错误吗?

yet that said he just invested tens of billions of dollars in Alphabet and we know that it was Buffett now and not Abel who was calling that decision which is interesting and basically he's called Is negligence of tech companies a mistake?

尽管我会说,投资谷歌可能是你在科技领域能做出的最安全的押注之一。价格很高,但是,天哪,我们刚刚又看到了谷歌一个多么出色的季度。

And although I would say investing in Google was probably one of the safest bets on tech you can make. Prices are high, but boy, I mean, what a quarter we just saw from Google again.

2026-08-15
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2026-08-13看涨
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