David Lin 对 $GLD 的判断变化

2026-09-12看涨
《Peter Schiff: The Next Collapse Is Starting In The Bond Market》
在黄金从5600回落至4300时逢低买入;4000为支撑位;预计价格将大幅走高。

考虑到黄金在过去一年半里涨了这么多,你大概已经在黄金和黄金投资上赚了不少钱。你会不会获利了结一部分,转投到别的东西上?

You've presumably made a lot of money on gold and gold investments in the last year and a half given how far gold has run up. Would you take some profits and move it into something else?

方向翻转
2026-09-10看跌
《Oil To 'Break' Everything; Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold Crashing 'Back Down' | Mike McGlone》
GLD被高估,其表现更像高贝塔股票代理而非避险资产,预计将下跌至3,000。

黄金符合我所说的“股票傀儡”这一类。它与股市高度相关。它与标普500的100日相关性最近几乎达到了数十年来的高点。

Gold fits in my stock puppet category. It's highly correlated. The 100 day correlation with the S&P 500 reached almost such a multi-deade high recently.

它相对标普500的波动率是两倍。这几乎是20年来最高的。在某个时点它站稳5000上方之前,很容易先跌回3000。

Its volatility versus the S&P 500 is two times. That's hard the highest in 20 years. Could easily get back down to 3,000 before at some point it stays above 5,000.

2026-08-25
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