$GDX
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ElliottWaveTrader 对 $GDX 的判断变化

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2026-09-23
《Avi’s Market Minute - September 23rd 2026: Gold, Silver & GDX at a Key Juncture》
GDX 的方向取决于价格走势：突破 101.83 意味着第三浪启动；若突破失败并跌破近期低点，则意味着第二浪调整仍将延续。

有可能，是的，我们在GDX中已经触及了第二浪的底部。这意味着我们正呈现出一个一二、一二的结构，作为第三浪中的第一浪。

There is potential that yes, we have struck the bottom of a wave two in in GDX. And that means we have a one two one two being presented for wave one of three.

这意味着我们必须突破昨天的高点。如果我们无法突破昨天的高点，反而跌破昨天的低点，那就会把我们带上一条路径，至少是走向一个更扩张的ABC，即第二浪。

That means we have to take out yesterday's high. If we are unable to take yesterday's high and take out yesterday's low instead, that puts us on a path for at least this in a more expanded ABC of wave two.

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2026-08-26看跌
《Avi’s Market Minute - August 26th 2026: Update on Gold, Silver & GDX》
GDX 可能已在五浪结构中见顶；深度二浪回调有可能但概率不大，整体偏向看跌。

这是更大级别的GDX。我的意思是，目前显然有足够的波浪形态，可以认为它已经以五浪结构见顶。现在，这个五浪结构能否成为这个替代B浪的C浪？绝对可以，而且可能指引我们下行。但我必须告诉你，这是可能的，只是我认为可能性不大，因为要成为五浪C浪，你必须将此视为A浪底部，然后是一个A浪、非常不寻常的B浪，然后是C浪上涨？

我的意思是，你知道，我们偶尔会看到扩张平台形，但我必须告诉你，这一个将是非常不寻常的。因此，我将其视为第五浪的第一浪。是的，信不信由你，我们可能会看到深度第二浪，因为有相当多的个股强烈暗示它们会创出新低。

我认为GDX不一定强烈暗示这一点。如我所说，你可能会看到深度第二浪，但我不认为它强烈暗示任何超过深度第二浪的东西。

This is GDX on the bigger degree. I mean clearly we have more than enough waves in place right now for this to have considered topped in a five-wave structure. Now, can that five-wave structure be a C wave of this alt B wave?

Absolutely and it could and point us down it. But I got to tell you it's possible. Just don't think it's probable because in order for this to be a five-wave C wave you have to view this as the A wave bottom here, then you have an A, very unusual B wave and then a C wave rally?

I mean, you [snorts] know, we see expanded flats, you know, every now and then. But I got to tell you this one would be extraordinarily unusual. For that reason I'm I'm viewing this as wave one of wave five.

We Yes, we could see a deep wave two believe it or not because there are quite a number of individual mining stocks that are strongly suggestive of those in lower lows. Um, I don't think GDX is necessarily um, strongly suggestive of that.

Like I said, you could see a deep wave two but I I'm I'm not strongly indicative um, of uh, I don't think it's strongly indicative of of a uh, of anything more than just a deep wave two.

看原视频00:01
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