NDX出现罕见的周线动能未获确认，显示潜在疲弱，但短期动能仍为正，若突破30,782的双顶阻力，则有望上探31,300。
逐段跳播
这与我们看纳斯达克指数时看到的情况不同，我稍后会展示给你看。那么，我们在这里看到的是动能下降的状况。当我在这里看纳斯达克NDX指数时，我们面对的是一个真正罕见的情况。我这么说，具体指的是我们的动能指标，即“反转探测器”。
我们看到的是缺乏确认，而这种情况在这张图上已经20年没有出现过。当我看着它，并试图更深入地分析时，我发现这个断裂相当急剧，正如你在这里看到的那样。随后纳斯达克指数经历了一次不错的回调。
然后它又开始非常迅速地攀升。这告诉我，这种罕见的缺乏确定性可能意味着这是一次假突破。
This is different from what we see when we look at the Nasdaq index, which I will show you in a few moments. So, what we are seeing here are conditions of declining momentum. When I look here at the Nasdaq NDX index, what we have is truly a rare case .
When I say that, I am specifically referring to our momentum indicator, the "reversal detector". What we have is a lack of confirmation that has not been present on this chart for 20 years.
When I look at it, and try to analyze it more deeply, I find that this fracture was quite sharp, just as you can see here. Then the Nasdaq index experienced a good correction. And then it started climbing again very quickly .
What this tells me is that this rare lack of certainty could mean that this was a false breakthrough.
纳斯达克显然就在这里形成了一个底部，这让我考虑这样一种可能性：我此前预期的下跌没有出现，是因为在这个三角形调整期之后，动能状况改善得如此显著。
The Nasdaq has clearly created a bottom right here, and this makes me consider the possibility that the decline I was expecting did not materialize because the momentum conditions improved so dramatically after this triangular corrective period here.
当我观察纳斯达克和X指数时，我向你展示了周线上缺乏确认。而现在在日线图上，我们有了这个峰值，它达到了与之前完全相同的水平。因此，当然存在形成双顶形态的可能性，阻力位在那个前高30,782，然后是重要的月度斐波那契扩展位31,300。
如果它能够突破那个水平，31,300将是下一个目标。你可以看到这里的这个底部，它来得正是时候。这里的下一个底部，我会把它滑出来给你看，将出现在10月中旬前后的某个位置。所以，问题是：它能够继续上涨吗？
这里的动能比我们在标普500中看到的更强，但同样，当我们看纳斯达克时，我们看到这种罕见的缺乏确认，这在周线图上告诉我们存在一些疲弱，并且有重要的事情正在发生。目前，正如我提到的，它仍处于区间内。
没有太多可以下结论的，除了短期动能是正面的，并且仍有可能突破本周录得的那个峰值30,770，一路升至纳斯达克31,300的测试区。
When I look at the Nasdaq and X indexes, I show you that lack of weekly confirmation. And now here on the daily chart, we have this peak that has reached exactly the same level as before.
Therefore, there is of course a possibility of a double top pattern, with resistance at that previous high of 30,782, and then an important monthly Fibonacci extension at 31,300.
If it manages to surpass that level, 31,300 will be the next target. You can see this bottom here, which came at just the right time . The next bottom here, which I'm going to slide out for you to see , will come somewhere around mid-October.
So, the question is: Will he be able to continue rising? The momentum here is stronger than what we see in the S&P 500, but again, when we look at the Nasdaq, we see this rare lack of confirmation, which tells us on the weekly chart that there is some weakness , and that something important is happening.
Currently, as I mentioned, it is still within range. There isn't much to conclude , except that the short-term momentum is positive, and there is still a possibility of surpassing that peak recorded this week at 30,770, all the way to the test zone at 31,300 on the Nasdaq.
所以，如果你看纳斯达克与罗素的价差，如果你是这里的配对交易者，你可以看到它在告诉你：持有买入头寸，并让你的期权头寸偏向纳斯达克的买入方向。
So, if you look at the Nasdaq- Russell spread, if you are a trader of the pair here, you can see that it was telling you: be in a buy position, and make your options positions lean to the buy side in Nasdaq,
观察点
这个频道对 $NDX 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 4 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。