SMH shows relative strength but needs technical confirmation above key levels to sustain a rally toward $600+.

Next up into the SMH. Now, here's where the story is, guys. And here's where the story, as I remind you, I always, and I've said this many times on this show, this SMH is where I can lean either bullish or bearish on the near-term price action. And the reason being, SMH contains a lot of semiconductor stocks. They also are growth stocks. So, when investors are pushing these growth stocks up, it's risk on in the marketplace and likely the rest of the market will follow suit. And I've really been highlighting this with our simple moving averages, guys. So, let's look at these simple moving averages to also illustrate how we're just not able to get back above that 50 moving average. That 50 daily moving average is this blue line on my screen. The yellow is the 20 and this red down here at the bottom is the 200 moving average. So, we see here even with the pop that we received Friday, price action basically closed right at or underneath that 50-day moving average. You can even see too we breached it here on the ETH and even maintained above it on the 9th but never put in a continuing confirmation move above not only this parallel not only this declining trend line but then that 50 moving averages. So we had three resistance levels so far holding SMH down on price and then we slid even further down today catching support mind you at the 50% area of this parallel channel. Now, to remind anybody or to illustrate to any new viewers where this parallel channel comes from, guys, this is a parallel channel back in April of 2025. And if I zoom in into the 10-minute chart, look at where that bounce occurred today. Right at the 50% area of the parallel, as I illustrated with the S&P 500, the SMH also sold off the last 10-minute candle of the day. But still incredible how technical analysis can work on the chart. When you're talking about a year and a half, a year and 5 months later down the road, we get an in intraday bounce right here on this 50% area of the parallel. That tells you near-term guys, that is the level of support. Big fall down here today. I would be surprised um if we don't see a little bit of a bounce up tomorrow. However, if the selling pressure continues pushing us down to the lower 50% of the parallel channel, the next support will come at these low pivots that you see here on the chart, right around $525. Beyond that, we're talking the bottom of the parallel, right at $58 on the chart there for SMH. Beautiful decline there today, keeping me less bullish in the market for risk on uh stocks, equities, much like the tech sector in general.

Right on the SMH, SMH comp uh performing extremely well compared to the Q's and the S&P up around 2%, guys.