$LEN

Bullish on LEN for short-term swing trade targeting $88; bearish long-term due to housing market downside risks.

BullishHe framed it in weeks

“Yields Top 5% On Eve Of Fed Decision, Oil Pumps Again, Gold And Silver Breakdown, Top Trades”

Verified InvestingPublished Sep 15 · 2 passages

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Take a look at LAR. This one I am bullish on Lenar guys. Lenar my thesis is this is that Fed raises rates start falling a little bit and the housing stocks get a little bit of an uptick.

Now again I'm not long-term bullish on LAR because I still think the housing market has a lot of downside. But for a short-term swing trade I actually like LAR here.

Look at the trend line. So I always like to coordinate my macro thesis with technical analysis. Look at this trend line. Look at this high pivot here from 2023. We gapped above it.

So that's another river theory example. Classic river theory example. We then retrace, hit, bounced, hit, bounced, hit, bounced, hit, bounce, hit, bounce. We just hit it again right here.

We should get a bounce up. I'd be looking for a move potentially kind of to the parallel of this. Look at how these two lines are parallel. So, I'd be looking for a move up to about $88 as a swing trade long on LAR over the next few weeks.

Watchpoints

price movement toward target

What this channel has said about $LEN

Verified Investing has 2 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-17Bullish

Lenar reporting earnings today, guys. The stock was down pretty nicely, flushing early on, actually tagging this key trend line. It's actually starting to reverse here. I have this amazing zone here right down around 74 down to about 71 descending trend line, major flat bottom horizontal. This is a great, in my opinion, swing trading level. It looks like if we go to the 10-minute chart that that first trend line pierced at 7475 right here. In fact, we went as low as 73 and change. Unfortunately, I didn't get in here. It was too early in the in the morning. In fact, this was after hours yesterday, just after the bell. But, nonetheless, if it comes back in, I like it. I also like it because I think the long end of the yield curve or the interest rates on the 10 and the 20 and the 30-year are going to continue to come in just a little bit. That's going to be very good for housing in the near term. So, LAR again was down. Now it's basically fought back to be flat to green on the day. We'll see where that goes.

Quote at 13:04 ›

2026-09-15BullishThis one

Take a look at LAR. This one I am bullish on Lenar guys. Lenar my thesis is this is that Fed raises rates start falling a little bit and the housing stocks get a little bit of an uptick. Now again I'm not long-term bullish on LAR because I still think the housing market has a lot of downside. But for a short-term swing trade I actually like LAR here.

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